Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000620 0.000711 0.000807 0.000917 0.001039 0.001169 0.001317
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000463 0.000585 0.000725 0.000896 0.001096 0.001324 0.001599
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000389 0.000525 0.000690 0.000898 0.001154 0.001454 0.001829
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000336 0.000483 0.000666 0.000908 0.001215 0.001585 0.002062
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000283 0.000430 0.000622 0.000885 0.001228 0.001654 0.002215
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000238 0.000383 0.000580 0.000858 0.001232 0.001708 0.002348
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000209 0.000355 0.000559 0.000856 0.001265 0.001797 0.002526
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000186 0.000330 0.000540 0.000854 0.001298 0.001885 0.002702
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000163 0.000304 0.000517 0.000843 0.001315 0.001951 0.002851
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000141 0.000278 0.000491 0.000826 0.001321 0.002001 0.002978
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000269 0.000489 0.000845 0.001378 0.002122 0.003202
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000121 0.000259 0.000486 0.000859 0.001430 0.002235 0.003419
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000238 0.000463 0.000844 0.001436 0.002286 0.003552
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000217 0.000439 0.000823 0.001435 0.002325 0.003670
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000206 0.000429 0.000826 0.001467 0.002413 0.003858
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000197 0.000424 0.000835 0.001509 0.002518 0.004071
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000180 0.000402 0.000813 0.001502 0.002546 0.004174
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000163 0.000378 0.000788 0.001487 0.002563 0.004261
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000154 0.000368 0.000786 0.001509 0.002636 0.004429
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000145 0.000360 0.000785 0.001533 0.002710 0.004603
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000135 0.000346 0.000774 0.001540 0.002760 0.004739
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000124 0.000330 0.000758 0.001536 0.002792 0.004848
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000032 0.000122 0.000332 0.000776 0.001591 0.002916 0.005101